Southern Ocean Projections Explorer

Results from the Southern Ocean Marine Ecosystem Model Ensemble (SOMEME)

Projected fish biomass change Global Model Evaluation Regional Model Evaluation About This Tool

Projected fish biomass change


Explore mean changes in fish biomass estimated by FishMIP ensemble (including 10 marine ecosystem models) relative to the reference period (2005-2014) for Antarctic waters.


Mean change in fish biomass for the selected scenario and time period.


Mean percentage change in fish biomass (1950-2100) relative to the historical reference period (2005-2014) derived from the FishMIP model ensemble under two emissions scenarios: SSP1-2.6 and SSP5-8.5. Shaded areas show the standard deviation across the 10 marine ecosystem models included in the ensemble.


Global Model Evaluation



Data for this model/variable combination is not yet available.

Under development.


Time series of simulated vs observed catches for DBPM model (1961-2010).

Time series evaluation is currently only available for DBPM catches.

Additional model/variable combinations are under development.


Statistical performance metrics comparing DBPM simulated catches against observations.


Overall Performance

Scatter Plot


Residual Analysis

Performance metrics are currently only available for DBPM catches.

Additional model/variable combinations are under development.

Regional Model Evaluation



Time series showing model outputs from 1950-2010 for the selected functional groups.

The solid line shows the median value, with shaded ribbons showing the 25th-75th percentile range.



Summary statistics for the selected functional groups and variable.


About This Tool

This interactive tool allows user to visualize projected fish biomass change under different emissions scenarios in the waters surrounding the Antarctic continent. Projections are based on the FishMIP (Fisheries and Marine Ecosystem Model Intercomparison Project) ensemble of 10 marine ecosystem models.


Data Sources

  • Fish biomass projections: FishMIP ensemble (10 models)
  • Spatial boundaries: CCAMLRGIS package (CCAMLR Stastitical areas and EEZs)
  • Climate scenarios: SSP1-2.6 (low emissions) and SSP5-8.5 (high emissions)
  • Reference period: 2005-2014 mean

How to cite

When using data or visualizations from this tool, please cite:

  • FishMIP Southern Projections Explorer: Interactive tool for Antarctic fish biomass projections
  • FishMIP collaboration and contributing modeling groups
  • CCAMLRGIS package for spatial data

Contact & Feedback

For questions or feedback about this tool, please contact the FishMIP team.


Acknowledgments

This tool was developed to support understanding of climate change impacts on Antarctic marine ecosystems. We acknowledge the FishMIP community and all contributing modelling groups.


Summary Statistics

Download comprehensive summary statistics for all regions, scenarios, and time periods.

Download Summary Statistics